Modelled migraine burden across Africa, 2009-2023: geographic patterns, demographic drivers, and exploratory projections to 2030.

This research examined migraine burden across Africa from 2009 to 2023. It used data from 54 African countries to analyze incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The study found that the incidence ranged from 802.9 to 1,292.2 per 100,000 people. Prevalence varied between 9,534.2 and 15,959.0. YLDs were reported from 338.3 to 570.2. The study highlighted that women experienced migraines more than men. The female-to-male ratio for incidence was between 1.41 and 1.73. Population growth was a major factor, accounting for 88.3%-95.1% of the increased burden. The researchers used various statistical methods to ensure their findings were reliable. They also provided projections for migraine trends beyond 2020. This research emphasizes the need for better data on migraines in Africa to guide healthcare policies and improve treatment strategies. Clinical relevance: This study highlights the significant migraine burden in Africa, emphasizing the need for improved healthcare resources and targeted interventions for affected populations.